By Fischer Smith
The sports world has taken an unprecedented turn over the last 12 moths, but somehow, someway, we have made it to Super Bowl 55. This is perhaps the most intriguing Super Bowl matchup in recent memory, as Tom Brady looks to win his 7th ring against reigning Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes. Nothing gets the gambling juices flowing more than the Super Bowl. I for one, get addicted to scrolling through all of the Super Bowl props each year. From the national anthem duration to the Gatorade shower color, there is a seemingly endless amount. After spending hours looking through this year’s props, I have picked out 7 that I think have a great shot to cash.
Longest TD score under 46.5 yards (-110)
At first glance, I thought about taking the over here. We are dealing with two high powered offenses that have the ability to strike fast. However, there has not been a touchdown that went for longer than 40 yards in 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls. Strictly because of this stat, I am on the under here.
Total Touchdowns in the game over 6.5 (-130)
Again, we are dealing with two very high powered offenses. Both teams averaged over 3 touchdowns per game in the regular season, and the 2 teams have each scored 3 or more touchdowns in each playoff game. Andy Reid and Bruce Arians are two of the most creative offensive minds in football, and I expect them both to have their offenses putting up plenty of touchdowns, especially with 2 weeks to prepare.
Buccaneers record first QB sack (-140)
The Buccaneers have a clear edge defensively in that they have multiple above average pass rushers that will be taking on a Chiefs offensive line that does not have standout OT Eric Fisher. Jason Pierre-Paul, Shaquil Barrett, and Devin White combined for 27.5 sacks this season. The Bucs also have a great offensive line that will be going against a Chiefs defense that is mediocre at best when rushing the pass. The Bucs had 5 sacks in the NFC championship game and I’ll take them to have the first sack in the Super Bowl.
Buccaneers score 10+ Points 1st (+110)
The Chiefs are often notorious for getting off to slow starts, especially in the playoffs. The Chiefs trailed 9-0 and 10-0 in the previous two conference championship games, and trailed 24-0 in the divisional round last year. The Buccaneers offense got off to a hot start in Green Bay, and I expect that again in the Super Bowl. I think they get to 10 first.
Under 1.5 total number of INT (-140)
In a game that features the best quarterback of all time, along with the best quarterback in the league currently, I will bank on one of them to not throw an interception, as well as both of them to not throw more than 1 interception. I have a lot of confidence in this one.
Travis Kelce over 8.5 receptions (-120)
Kelce has 21 catches in 2 postseason games this year and is coming off a regular season where he recorded a career high 105 receptions. Kelce is the clear focal point of the Chiefs offense, and I expect Mahomes to rely on him as a safety blanket heavily in the Super Bowl against Tampa Bay’s pass rush. I am comfortable taking Kelce to have 9 or more grabs on Sunday.
Mike Evans to score a TD (+100)
The numbers speak for themselves here. Evans has gotten in the end zone 15 times in 19 games this season, including a score in each of the last 2 games. I will bank on Evans to score for a third straight game as Brady’s favorite red zone target.
Well, there you have it. Obviously there are hundreds of other props you can take for the big game, but I like to play it safe and stick to props that are not random, and where I can use some information or stats to back up the pick. Enjoy the game, and good luck to all Chiefs and Buccaneers fans. Always remember to bet responsibly.