Usually this is where we recap last weeks betting card but this week I’m going to change it up. We’re just going to dive right into our NFL BEST BETS for WEEK 10.
Two weeks ago I was on the right side of all my losing bets but couldn’t get the ball to bounce our way.
Last week was a different story. I just flat out had a bad week and bet the wrong games. That’s the name of the game though, you can’t win em all. Sometimes it’s better to just take it on the chin and move on to your next bet.
Winning streaks are awesome but it’s how you bounce back from a losing streak and manage your bank roll in the midst of one that allows you to be profitable long term.
With that being said, let’s go ahead and break down our week 10 best bets and get on our way to having some tickets to cash. Before doing so, as usual, please go follow me on twitter and of course dailybestodds.com for all your sports related content. @ev_ritt3 @seef3ldt @dailybestodds
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (3-4-1) @ New York Giants +3.5 (2-7)
My Pick: Eagles -3.5
I’m taking the Eagles to cover in this spot and my projections have this line closer to -6 so, I like the value we’re getting here.
The Eagles are coming off a bye and will be the more rested football team. Not to mention they’re beginning to get healthier. Jalen Reagor, Dallas Goedert and Miles Sanders are all returning to their starting roles. Full healthy I believe the Philadelphia Eagles can still be a 9 win football team, especially in the NFC EAST which no one would argue is the worst division in the league.
The Giants only have 2 wins this season and those both came against one of their divisional rivals, the Washington Football Team. They only have 1 win straight up against the Eagles in the series last 11 games.
The Eagles are 10-3 against the spread in the last 13 games @ New York. They’re also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games VS a team with a losing record.
The Giants offense is the worst in the league while the Eagles defense is second in pressure. Philadelphia should be able tee off on Daniel Jones and force him into some poor decisions. Not to mention the Giants can’t run the ball to begin with and now going up against a good defensive front isn’t going to help their cause.
With most of their weapons back on the offensive side of the ball, the Eagles should be able to beat the Giants pretty easily. Daniel Jones will have a long day on his back and I’m expecting he’ll turn the ball over more than once.
Eagles to cover is my play here.
Denver Broncos +5.5 (3-5) @ Las Vegas Raiders -5.5 (5-3)
My Pick: Broncos +5.5
I grabbed this line earlier in the week at +5.5 but I would still bet the Broncos down to +3.
Denver will get two starting corners back in A.J. Bouye and Bryce Callahan so last weeks inability to slow down Atlanta’s passing game shouldn’t be the case against the Raiders. Being healthy on the outside will be huge for the Broncos in this tight divisional game.
Drew Lock has got off to a slow start in the first half the last 2 games but then has turned it on after half time. He should have plenty of time to connect with his two favorite targets, Jerry Jeudy and Noah Fant against a Raiders team who is 20th in defensive pressure and 31st in blitz rate.
It’s possible we see the Broncos second half play for the entire game this Sunday against a Raiders team who can’t get pressure on the quarterback.
Lock will also get his starting guard back, Graham Glasgow while the Raiders will be down a starting d-tackle in Maurice Hurst. That should solidify Lock having time to stand in the pocket and go through his progressions against a team who can’t get pressure on the quarterback.
Road underdogs of six or fewer points are 35-15 (70%) ATS this season. I love getting points in what should be a close game.
The Broncos off and ATS loss are 6-0. I’m taking the points in this one and would place some of my bankroll on the money line. Take the points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5 (6-3) @ Carolina Panthers +5 (3-6)
My Pick: Bucs -5
Brady off a loss, yes please. Brady off a humiliating loss, I’ll take it all day.
This should be a huge bounce back game for Brady and the Bucs. The public tends to overreact to a team getting blown out which is a huge reason I’m betting against them.
Another week of practice should of allowed Brady and Antonio Brown’s chemistry to build. The Panthers will be without Christian McCaffrey once again and I think Mike Davis is finally starting to slow down from taking on such a big workload which he isn’t built for.
The Panthers have lost 4 straight and are 0-5 at home against the NFC SOUTH. On the other hand the Bucs are 7-1 in their last 8 against the NFC SOUTH and 8-1 off a loss straight up.
Everyone will be backing the Panthers because of Teddy’s underdog record but I think this is the week that goes the other way. Tom Brady and the Buccaneers will be out to show last weeks blow out loss was just an off game.
History says take Brady off a loss. I think the market is undervaluing Tamp Bay. I’m laying the points.
$100 bet to win $1922.84 to payout $2,022.84
5 team parlay
$100 bet to win $2,2000 to payout $2,300 (22/1 odds)
Outside looking in: HOU/CLE- UNDER, BUF/ARI-OVER, Bengals-ML
Well that will do it for our NFL BEST BETS WEEK 10. We’re putting the last two weeks in our rear view mirror and hoping to cash in this week. As always, thanks for tuning in. Feel free to add me on twitter.com @ev_ritt3 and be sure to check out dailybestodds.com for all things sports!
Fun Fact/Trend of the Week: Teams going on the road after a mid-season bye are 33-21 SU and 36-18 ATS since 2010.
Good luck to all of you making your way to the counter this Sunday. Stay tuned for my NFL week 11 best bets against the spread.