Sunday Night Football: Week 12 Preview, GB at SF

We get a game flexed into Sunday Night Football that everyone will enjoy! The playoff implications of this game are starting to formulate, so it only makes sense that it is on Sunday Night Football. 

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers

Levi’s Stadium

Santa Clara, CA

Betting

In a battle between the 2 best teams in the NFC, betting this game will be tricky. With the Packers entering the game much healthier than the 49ers, it is odd to see them as underdogs. Looking at the trends, the Packers have been amazing ATS (against the spread) in their last 10 games. However, they’re 1-4-1 ATS in games against the 49ers. The trends for San Fran that are notable are the OVER hitting a majority of the time and that they stink ATS in their last 10 games. With this information, provided by Oddsshark, what do we do? Well, let me tell ya! Before looking at the trends, I liked the Packers +3.0 at EVEN money and the OVER at 48.0 (-115). Now that we have examined the trends, we have valuable information that backs up our betting decisions. 

Injuries

With Matt Breida missing Sunday Night Football, Tevin Coleman will share the backfield with Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. This is not a knock on Breida, but the talent of Mostert and Wilson will equate to what Breida brings to the table. 

With the top 3 passing options expected to be available, albeit at less than 100%, the 49ers will be able to attack this susceptible Packers secondary.

What. A. BALLER.

For the Packers, only reserve TE Robert Tonyan is questionable to play.

49ers Offense vs. Packers Defense

The 49ers are at their best when Tevin Coleman gets going. This allows them to set up the play-action and have Jimmy Garoppolo find George Kittle. Kittle is the #1 TE in the NFL and he’ll have an easy time finding some holes in this Packers defense. The Packers will have to utilize Adrian Amos are a coverage man on Kittle which dampens his impact as a blitzer and run supporter. Also, having Amos at the LOS means that the deep ball will have openings… enter Deebo Samuel. Samuel already has 9 plays of over 20 yards this season and 272 yards after the catch. His big-play ability will cause problems over-the-top and allow Emmanuel Sanders to work underneath. It is likely that Jaire Alexander shadows Sanders which means Kevin King, who has struggled with being beat deep, will have to man the deep shots.

Jimmy Garoppolo for Sunday Night Football
Jimmy Garoppolo

Packers Offense vs. 49ers Defense

The Packers running game has finally come alive! With Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams looking like the best 1-2 punch in the NFL, the Packers don’t have to rely on Aaron Rodgers to move the ball through the air. Jones, who is battling Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey for the NFL lead in touchdowns scored, faces this 49ers defense that has allowed Kenyan Drake (x2), Kyler Murray (x2), Chris Carson, and Christian McCaffrey to run all over them the past month. But, where the 49ers have struggled to stop the run, they’ve made up with amazing pass defense. By allowing less than 175 passing yards per game, the 49ers have one of the best pass defenses in all of football. Much of this can be attributed to the stout secondary, but I want to draw attention to the front-7 of the 49ers. The outstanding play of Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead, and DeForest Buckner have kept opposing QB’s in disarray. Even though Dee Ford will miss this game, that’s still ¾ of a D-line that has 5+ sacks each!

Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones via Keith Allison for Sunday Night Football
Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones via Keith Allison

Predictions

Packers: 28

49ers: 30

Guaranteed Touchdown Scorer: Aaron Jones / George Kittle

Dart Throw Touchdown Scorer: Danny Vitale / Ross Dwelley

Conclusion

Who do you think will win on Sunday Night Football tonight? Will this game determine the #1 seed in the NFC playoffs? Let me know in the comments below! Also, check out the shop and other content by clicking here.

-Mitchell Seefeldt

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