Sunday Night Football: Week 11 Preview, CHI at LAR

With Sunday Night Football kicking off soon, I’m here to detail what I expect from the game tonight. The public believes that this will be a fairly one-sided game but I have other ideas in mind. So, without further ado, here’s my Sunday Night Football Week 11 Preview for the Bears and Rams.

Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Los Angeles, CA

Betting

These 2 teams only know how to play in games that remain close on the scoreboard. With that in mind, I like the Bears +6.0 on the spread (-110). This Bears defense is one of the best in the entire league and they face a Rams squad that has struggled as of late. The only thing holding the Bears back is their offense. I imagine that this game will be so low-scoring that they should still be able to cover the spread. Speaking of low-scoring, I like this game to go UNDER 39.5 points (-120). Usually, I avoid NFL totals that are under 42 points because a couple of fluke TD’s could swing the odds against us. But, this feels like the right spot with both offenses fully aboard the struggle-bus as of late. Also, with the interception bug biting both teams QB’s, keep an eye out for the best D/ST TD prop bet or possibly an in-game turnover bet.

Injuries

The Rams may be fully healthy on defense, but they’ll be missing some big pieces on their offense. With both Brandin Cooks and Rob Havenstein ruled OUT, Jared Goff loses a key weapon in the passing attack and arguably his best pass-blocker. Expect the Rams to keep some extra help on the O-line in the form of TE’s (if they play, they’re all literally listed as questionable) to attempt to contain the fearsome Bears pass-rush.

Rob Havenstein via Jeffrey Beall for Sunday Night Football Preview for Week 11
Rob Havenstein via Jeffrey Beall

Here’s where things get interesting, the Bears cut running back Mike Davis this past week and then starting running back David Montgomery sprained his ankle during practice. With Montgomery labeled as a “Game Time Decision,” we might have a Bears backfield led by 5’6 Tarik Cohen. If Montgomery can’t give it a go, then we’ll likely see a combination of Ryan Nall and KR/WR Cordarrelle Patterson handling the bulk of the carries. Aside from the major backfield question, the Bears will also be without Adam Shaheem on offense and Danny Trevathan on defense.

Cordarrelle Patterson via Jeffrey Beall for Sunday Night Football Preview for Week 11
Cordarrelle Patterson via Jeffrey Beall

Rams Offense vs. Bears Defense

Like most QB’s drafted early for the past few years, Jared Goff has struggled to perform at a high level consistently. Goff was supposed to be the golden child for the Rams, as he has played football throughout his entire life. But, we haven’t seen Goff sling the ball all that well for the Rams. He has 11 TD’s and 9 INT’s so far this season which simply won’t cut it for a starting NFL QB. The Rams have arguably the best WR trio in the NFL with Brandin Cooks (out for this game), Cooper Kupp, and Robert Woods. Those three alone should be able to create separation down the field and open up clean targets for Goff. If that weren’t enough, Todd Gurley hasn’t been the same player since he developed arthritis in his knee. A running back with a bum knee? That usually doesn’t bode well for a team. 

Jared Goff via Jeffrey Beall for Sunday Night Football Preview in Week 11
Jared Goff via Jeffrey Beall

As I mentioned in the betting section, the Bears pass-rush is elite. They dominate the line of scrimmage against fully healthy offensive lines and tonight on Sunday Night Football… the Rams don’t have a fully healthy offensive line. Even without their leading tackler tonight, the Bears will limit the running lanes for the Rams and be a constant disruption to the passes thrown by Goff. I fully expect either a strip-sack by Khalil Mack or a Kyle Fuller INT tonight.

Khalil Mack via Fox Sports for Sunday Night Football Preview for Week 11
Khalil Mack via Fox Sports

Bears Offense vs. Rams Defense

With one of the worst offenses in the entire NFL, the Bears will take the field Sunday night and face a defense just as fierce as their own. If Montgomery sits, the running game for the Bears will have to be established by Mitch Trubisky rolling out of the pocket. I know that Trubisky hasn’t done a lot of running this season, but surely it is game-planned into this matchup in order to avoid him getting wrecked by Aaron Donald and company. Aside from the shot-play touchdown to Taylor Gabriel, this Bears offense revolves around the incredible catch radius of Allen Robinson. Despite playing with some of the worst QB’s in NFL history over his career, Robinson remains effective and a focal point in his teams’ schemes. 

Mitch Trubisky via Cameron Good for Sunday Night Football Preview in Week 11
Mitch Trubisky via Cameron Good

So how do you counter Allen Robinson if you’re the Rams? By shadowing him with Jalen Ramsey of course! Ramsey, a mid-season acquisition, has one job for this Rams defense. Completely and utterly shut down the opposing teams’ star receiver. That may sound difficult to normal folks like us, but Ramsey has made his living by doing just that. With Ramsey on Robinson all night, Trubisky and the Bears will be forced to get creative on offense. Having this in mind, that’s why I like the odds that the Bears keep this game close.

Aaron Donald via Keith Allison for Sunday Night Football Preview for Week 11
Aaron Donald via Keith Allison

Prediction

Bears: 14

Rams: 17

Guaranteed Touchdown Scorer: Cooper Kupp

Dart Throw Touchdown Scorer: Cordarrelle Patterson / Tarik Cohen

Conclusion

What do you think of tonight’s Sunday Night Football game for Week 11? Are we going to get the low-scoring game that is expected or will the Rams finally get on track? Let me know in the comments below! Also, check out the shop and other content by clicking here.

-Mitchell Seefeldt

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