NCAA Week 4 Preview

We’re in Week 4 of the college football season and here are the matchups in the Top-25 that will be the most fun to watch this weekend.

#10 Utah vs. USC

Friday Night Football, 9:00 pm EST

The current favorite to win this game is Utah obviously… or is it? Well, they are but this game will be closer than the naked eye would perceive. An unranked team versus a Top-10 team should surely be a blowout! In the words of Lee Corso, “Not so fast, my friend.” USC already holds a victory over a ranked team this season as well as averaging more points and yards per game than Utah. However, Utah is allowing less than 240 yards per game as well as holding their opponents to less than 10(!) points a game. Will the high-powered offense of USC be able to score on the unforgiving defense of Utah? I believe that they will continue to score in bunches, but ultimately come up short to this Utah team. For betting purposes, I am siding with the over that is set at 52 total points scored.

#11 Michigan at #13 Wisconsin

12:00 pm EST

Oh boy, this game is going to be something else. With both teams coming off of a bye week, there has been plenty of preparation taking place for the BIG10 powerhouses. Wisconsin has one the best offenses in all of football, statistically speaking, but they have yet to play a team even remotely close to their talent level. Wisconsin’s defense has yet to surrender a point this season while they are scoring over 60(!) points on offense in one case. In this writer’s personal opinion, Wisconsin runningback Jonathan Taylor is the best player in the nation and he will face his biggest challenge of the season this weekend. On the Michigan side of things, potential NFL draft pick QB Shae Patterson will have to battle to keep his team in this game and he is definitely capable of doing so. Michigan was put to the test in a Double-OT win over Army a couple of weeks ago, and before that, they surrendered 21 points to a Middle Tennessee State team that shouldn’t be competing with a squad of Michigan’s caliber. For betting purposes, do not bet on this game. It’s as simple as that! Just sit back and start your Saturday with this amazing college football game.

#9 Florida vs. Tennessee

12:00 pm EST

Last week I wrote about how Florida is not selling me on their offense, and guess what, they just lost starting QB Felipe Franks to a really nasty-looking leg injury. Keep that in mind as they barely were able to rally behind backup QB Kyle Trask and needed Josh Hammond to break loose for a 76-yard touchdown run with 33 seconds left in the game in order to win against Kentucky last week. Meanwhile, Tennessee started the season with 2 tough losses in close games before obliterating Chattanooga 45-0 last week. Florida barely beat Miami to start the season and needed heroics this past week in order to beat Kentucky. For betting purposes, Florida is currently a 14-point favorite over Tennessee. I’m fairly confident that Tennessee can beat the spread considering Florida will be missing their starting QB and Tennessee is coming off of a hot week. This will be a much closer game than what sportsbooks believe. 

#23 California at Ole Miss

12:00 pm EST

UPSET ALERT! Ole Miss is currently the favorite to win this game with a spread at -2.5 points. The home team is looking like an even matchup for the #23 ranked Golden Bears that have squeaked out victories against North Texas and a then ranked #14 Washington team that has fallen to the back of the Top-25. Just by looking at the stats, these guys are essentially the same team. Neither team scores, or gives up scores a whole lot which bodes well for a low-scoring and competitive game. For betting purposes, it might be hard to pass up a ranked team that is listed as the underdog to an evenly matched opponent.

#8 Auburn at #17 Texas A&M

3:30 pm EST

Of the 3 games that we will see ranked teams go head-to-head this weekend, this one ranks 3rd for me on the excitement level. Auburn and true freshman QB Bo Nix will go on the road for the first time this season which could be problematic as A&M was able to be competitive with a #1 ranked Clemson team a couple of weeks ago. Nix took down a then #11 ranked Oregon and the potential top pick in 2020 NFL draft Justin Herbert back in Week 1 but that game was at home. A&M is regarded as one of the toughest places to play if you’re an opposing team which is why my confidence of #8 Auburn is lacking for this game. For betting purposes, I like the chances that the over on 47.5 points hits as both offenses have shown tendencies to score in high totals. In fact, Auburn has scored at least 24 points in all 3 of their games so far and A&M has only scored less than 41 points once (10 points against Clemson).

#22 Washington at BYU

3:30 pm EST

BYU is here and they will crush your favorite teams’ dreams, especially if the game goes into overtime. The high-powered offense of Washington, led by transfer QB Jacob Eason, was grounded by Cal a couple of weeks ago and I believe the same can happen here. BYU beat #24 ranked USC in OT last week 30-27 and Tennessee the week prior 29-26 in Double-OT. That’s not all, BYU played a #14 ranked Utah team in Week 1 and only lost 30-12. For an unranked team, BYU is as battle-tested as they come. Washington lost to the only good team that they have played and BYU has beaten the good teams that they have played. If you’re a high-stakes bettor, the BYU Moneyline of +205 looks appealing…

#12 Texas vs. Oklahoma State

7:30 pm EST

Okay, all I have to say about this game is that it has a chance to be the highest scoring total in all of college football this week. Both defenses are really bad and their offenses are… the exact opposite. If you enjoy watching touchdowns and want a prime time betting sweat, bet the over on 73 total points.

#3 Georgia vs. #7 Notre Dame

8:00 pm EST

Georgia is heavily favored in this game which looks odd on paper but makes sense. Jake Fromm and D’Andre Swift lead a Georgia offense that has been dominating so far this year against bad competition. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has been doing much of the same this year. The difference between these teams is the talent level, which really stands out when looking at the defenses of these squads. Draft prospect J.R. Reed already has one defensive touchdown this year and is hungry for more. There’s too much uncertainty for this writer to pick a side for betting purposes. The 14.5 point spread seems like bait and the O/U at 58 points while both teams average 50(!) points apiece is throwing my head for a loop. Treat this game like the UM at UW game that started the day, just it back and enjoy some college football.

-Mitchell Seefeldt

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